Counties whose turnout or vote volume is moving unusually far from the rest of the country
Compare with
5
against 2023 · Senator (general)
4
unusual against the national trend
Nimba
-11.1% vs baseline
Bong
-58.1% vs baseline
Henry Yallah leads · 70% of precincts reporting
Estimated votes
74,286
2023 baseline
177,114
Change vs baseline
-58.1%
Turnout
28.9%
Vs national trend
-24.7 pts
Vs county median
-1.1 pts
Jeremiah Koung leads · 75% of precincts reporting
Estimated votes
208,000
2023 baseline
233,843
Change vs baseline
-11.1%
Turnout
50.3%
Vs national trend
+22.3 pts
Vs county median
+20.3 pts
Abraham Darius Dillon leads · 82% of precincts reporting
Estimated votes
451,220
2023 baseline
665,023
Change vs baseline
-32.1%
Turnout
51.4%
Vs national trend
+1.2 pts
Vs county median
+21.4 pts
Momo Tumbs Cyrus leads · 73% of precincts reporting
Estimated votes
69,863
2023 baseline
132,053
Change vs baseline
-47.1%
Turnout
30.0%
Vs national trend
-13.7 pts
Vs county median
+0.0 pts
Each county's estimated vote total is compared with its tally in the chosen historical race, then measured against the national trend across the same counties — so a nationwide rise or fall in turnout is not reported as an anomaly. Turnout rates are compared with the median county. Alarms cover votes exceeding registered voters, volume more than 30 points off the national trend, or turnout more than 10 points off the median; High and Watch flag smaller breaks. Treat every flag as a prompt to check the underlying tally, not as proof of a problem.