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Turnout shift

How many more or fewer ballots each county and district is turning out than the same race in an earlier cycle, and which areas are gaining or losing a share of the vote.

Compare with

Areas compared

5

against 2023 · Senator (general)

Turnout shift

-33.4%

ballots counted across those areas

Largest rise

Nimba

-11.1% vs 2023

Largest fall

Bong

-58.1% vs 2023

2023: 1,314,519 ballotsNow, estimated: 875,8690 rising · 5 fallingMedian turnout: 30.0%5 of 5 still counting — scaled by reporting shareNo live tally yet: Bomi, Gbarpolu, Grand Cape Mount, Grand Gedeh, Grand Kru, Margibi, Maryland, River Cess, River Gee, Sinoe

Turnout shift vs 2023

Change in ballots counted against the same race in 2023. Areas below the line are turning out fewer voters.

-60.0%-45.0%-30.0%-15.0%+0.0%NimbaGrand BassaMontserradoLofaBong

Areas ranked by turnout shift

Ballots counted now (scaled by each area's reporting share) against the 2023 senator tally, and how each area's share of the total moved.

Area2023Now (est.)ShiftShareTurnoutReported
Nimba233,843208,000-11.1%+6.0 pts50.3%75%
Grand Bassa106,48672,500-31.9%+0.2 pts29.0%80%
Montserrado665,023451,220-32.1%+0.9 pts51.4%82%
Lofa132,05369,863-47.1%-2.1 pts30.0%73%
Bong177,11474,286-58.1%-5.0 pts28.9%70%

District turnout now

Turnout rate in every district the current cycle reports. A shift against 2023 appears as soon as the same district is stored for that race.

DistrictRaceCountedRegisteredTurnoutReported2023 shift
Montserrado · District 1Representative32,70055,00059.5%85%—
Montserrado · District 6Representative39,50068,00058.1%78%—
Grand Bassa · District 1Representative14,80046,00032.2%88%—
Bong · District 3Representative12,50042,00029.8%68%—
Margibi · District 2Representative11,20039,00028.7%76%—
Nimba · District 2Representative16,50058,00028.4%72%—

Both sides are measured as ballots recorded for the same race, because the stored historical rows hold final votes but no registration counts. Current figures are scaled up by each area's reporting share, so an area still counting is not read as a fall in turnout — check the Reported column before treating a shift as final. Turnout also differs by stage, so a runoff baseline reads lower than a first-round race.